November 2025: 4 Charts That Changed Everything

By Uncle D | December 3, 2025 | 10 min read
November 2025 Four Key Stories

November 2025 will be remembered as the month when the market's narrative shifted dramatically. While the S&P 500 barely moved, beneath the surface, massive rotations were underway. AI darlings crashed while established tech soared. Volatility exploded. Momentum reversed. And index performance masked the carnage in individual stocks.

This analysis examines four charts that tell the complete story of November 2025—a month that proved once again that in markets, what you own matters far more than whether "the market" goes up or down.

Story 1: The Great Divergence - GOOGL vs NVDA

GOOGL vs NVDA November Performance

The 27.3 percentage point spread between GOOGL and NVDA defined November's market rotation

The most striking pattern in November was the complete divergence between Alphabet (GOOGL) and NVIDIA (NVDA)—two stocks that had both been AI winners throughout 2024 and early 2025.

November Performance:
GOOGL: +12.85%
NVDA: -14.44%
Spread: 27.3 percentage points

What happened: GOOGL continued its October momentum (+14.82% → +12.85%), demonstrating that its AI investments were translating into actual revenue. The company's search dominance combined with AI integration created a powerful narrative of profitability, not just potential.

NVDA, meanwhile, reversed sharply from October's +8.14% gain to a -14.44% loss. Despite record earnings, concerns emerged about AI infrastructure spending sustainability, competition from custom chips, and China export restrictions. The market began questioning whether the AI infrastructure boom had peaked.

Why it matters: This divergence represents a fundamental shift in how the market values AI exposure. Investors rotated from "picks and shovels" (NVDA selling chips) to companies monetizing AI directly (GOOGL integrating AI into search and cloud). It's the difference between selling gold mining equipment and actually mining gold.

The lesson: Not all AI stocks move together. As the AI boom matures, the market is differentiating between infrastructure providers and revenue generators. GOOGL's ability to maintain momentum while NVDA crashed shows that profitability beats potential when sentiment shifts.

Story 2: The Volatility Explosion - AMD's Wild Ride

AMD November Volatility

AMD's 26.66% intramonth range with a 9% best day and -7.84% worst day

If you want to understand November's volatility in one chart, look at AMD. The stock swung through a 26.66% range—from intramonth high to low—despite ending the month down "only" 16.22%.

AMD November Stats:
Monthly Return: -16.22%
Intramonth Range: 26.66%
Best Single Day: +9.00%
Worst Single Day: -7.84%
Up Days: 10 | Down Days: 9

What happened: AMD experienced extreme two-way volatility driven by conflicting narratives. Positive days came from AI data center strength and market share gains. Negative days stemmed from China export restrictions, inventory concerns, and competition from NVIDIA's new chips.

The 10 up days versus 9 down days shows this wasn't a steady decline—it was violent whipsaws in both directions. Traders made and lost fortunes. Long-term investors questioned their conviction daily.

Compare to AAPL: While AMD swung 26.66%, Apple moved through just a 5.60% range while gaining 3.74%. Same month, same market, completely different experiences. AMD's volatility was 4.8x higher than Apple's.

Why it matters: High volatility creates opportunity for traders but danger for investors. AMD's 9% up day could have been a "buy the dip" opportunity or a bull trap—you only know in hindsight. The -7.84% down day could have been capitulation or the start of further decline.

The lesson: Volatility is not just a number—it's the emotional and financial cost of holding a position. AMD holders needed iron stomachs to endure 16.84 percentage points of daily swings (9% + 7.84%). Position sizing matters: a 5% portfolio position swinging 26% is manageable; a 25% position is portfolio-destroying.

Story 3: The Index Illusion - SPY Flat, Tech Carnage

SPY vs Individual Components

SPY's +0.01% masked massive dispersion in individual stock performance

Here's the most deceptive chart of November: the S&P 500 (SPY) gained 0.01%. Essentially flat. A boring month, right? Wrong.

November Dispersion:
SPY: +0.01%
QQQ: -2.03%
Average of 10 Mega-Caps: -3.55%
Positive Stocks: 4 of 10
Range: +12.85% (GOOGL) to -16.22% (AMD)

What happened: SPY's flat performance hid a massive sector rotation. Tech mega-caps (which dominate QQQ) fell hard: NVDA -14.44%, AMD -16.22%, AMZN -8.18%, MSFT -4.66%. But defensive sectors, financials, and healthcare held up or gained, keeping SPY near breakeven.

The market cap-weighting of SPY also helped. GOOGL (+12.85%) and AAPL (+3.74%) are two of the largest holdings, offsetting losses in smaller positions. An equal-weight S&P 500 would have shown a much uglier picture.

Why it matters: Index investing worked in November—barely. But if you owned individual tech stocks, you likely lost money. The average return of the 10 stocks analyzed was -3.55%, with 6 of 10 negative. SPY's 0.01% gain masked this pain.

The lesson: "The market" is an abstraction. SPY going nowhere doesn't mean your portfolio went nowhere. Stock selection mattered enormously in November. Owning GOOGL and AAPL saved you. Owning NVDA and AMD hurt. The index hid the divergence.

This is why concentrated portfolios can dramatically outperform or underperform indexes. November proved that diversification into an index provides stability, but stock picking provides opportunity—and risk.

Story 4: The Momentum Killer - October Winners Became November Losers

October vs November Momentum Comparison

Every single stock decelerated or reversed from October to November

Perhaps the most important lesson from November: momentum doesn't persist. Every single stock that gained in October either decelerated or reversed in November.

October → November Momentum Shifts:
QQQ: +4.28% → -2.03% (6.3 pp deceleration)
NVDA: +8.14% → -14.44% (22.6 pp reversal)
GOOGL: +14.82% → +12.85% (2.0 pp deceleration)
TSLA: -0.63% → -8.16% (7.5 pp acceleration down)
AMZN: +3.52% → -8.18% (11.7 pp reversal)

What happened: October was driven by strong Q3 earnings and optimism about year-end rallies. November brought profit-taking, position squaring before year-end, and concerns about 2026 growth. The enthusiasm that drove October's gains evaporated.

NVDA's 22.6 percentage point swing was the most dramatic. From an 8.14% October winner to a -14.44% November loser—a complete reversal in sentiment. Even GOOGL, which stayed positive both months, decelerated from +14.82% to +12.85%.

Why it matters: Momentum strategies assume trends persist. November proved they don't—at least not month-to-month. Buying October's winners in early November would have been disastrous. NVDA, QQQ, and AMZN all reversed.

The lesson: Take profits when you have them. October's gains were real—but only if you sold. Holding through November gave back those gains and then some. This is the eternal tension in investing: sell too early and miss further gains; hold too long and give back profits.

November also shows why trailing stops matter. A 10% trailing stop on NVDA would have triggered around $200 (from October's peak near $220), protecting most of October's gains before the -14.44% November decline.

Key Takeaways: What November Teaches Us

1. Divergence Matters More Than Direction
The market going nowhere (SPY +0.01%) doesn't mean your stocks went nowhere. GOOGL and AMD had a 29 percentage point spread. Stock selection was everything.
2. Volatility Is Opportunity for Traders, Danger for Investors
AMD's 26.66% range created trading opportunities but tested investor conviction. Know which one you are and size positions accordingly.
3. Index Performance Can Hide Individual Stock Carnage
SPY's flat month masked 6 of 10 mega-caps losing money. Don't assume your portfolio matches "the market."
4. Momentum Reverses Faster Than You Think
October's winners became November's losers in just 30 days. Trailing stops and profit-taking discipline matter.

Looking Ahead: What December Might Bring

November's patterns set up several scenarios for December:

Conclusion

November 2025 proved that markets are not monolithic. While SPY went nowhere, individual stocks experienced dramatic moves. The four charts examined here—GOOGL vs NVDA divergence, AMD's volatility explosion, the index illusion, and the momentum killer—tell a complete story of a market in transition.

The key insight: in November, what you owned mattered far more than whether "the market" went up or down. GOOGL holders made 12.85%. AMD holders lost 16.22%. SPY holders made 0.01%. Same month, three completely different experiences.

As we head into December, remember November's lessons: diversification provides stability, but stock selection provides returns. Volatility creates opportunity but demands discipline. And momentum, when it reverses, does so quickly and violently.

The market is always teaching. November's lesson was clear: pay attention to what's beneath the surface, because the index rarely tells the whole story.


Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. All data is sourced from publicly available market information as of December 3, 2025. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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